BetBot

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191920ATLPHI-PHI2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191920ATLPHI

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	169	Spent	$101.91
Entry price	0.60	Opened	2026-04-19T23:37:22.685Z
Market close	2026-04-22T23:20:00Z	Settled	2026-04-20T02:31:54.863Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.91
Requested	169	Filled	169
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.59	Quoted	0.59
Fill	0.60	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	7.4%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	86,414.54
Volume 24h	86,414.54	Family	sports_match
Order ID	1371c6b7-e7bc-4684-9592-0633915a59cb

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.91.

Rationale:

• market=59.0%
• model=66.5%
• edge=7.4%
• exit_bid=56.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=62.5%
• signed_flow=0.87
• liq_proxy=86414.5
• hours_to_close=71.7
• quote_age=1m

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335DETBOS-BOS2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335DETBOS

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	37	Spent	$36.30
Entry price	0.98	Opened	2026-04-19T22:02:00.155Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:23:26.865Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$37.00	Realized P&L	$0.70
Requested	103	Filled	37
Remaining	66	Order status	settled
Limit	0.97	Quoted	0.97
Fill	0.98	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	74,254.34
Volume 24h	74,254.34	Family	sports_match
Order ID	dd6125f9-1013-40b9-a875-04d14da474dd

NO settled NO. Realized $0.70.

Rationale:

• market=4.0%
• model=1.0%
• edge=2.0%
• exit_bid=96.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=17.1%
• signed_flow=-0.93
• liq_proxy=74254.3
• hours_to_close=67.6
• quote_age=5m

Toronto wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191610TORAZ-TOR2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191610TORAZ

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	102	Spent	$101.18
Entry price	0.99	Opened	2026-04-19T21:30:23.457Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:51:45.344Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$102.00	Realized P&L	$0.82
Requested	102	Filled	102
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.98	Quoted	0.98
Fill	0.99	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	72.9%	Edge	1.0%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	8,752.77
Volume 24h	8,752.77	Family	sports_match
Order ID	63981cfa-388b-4df3-b82b-1ca0a444d41e

YES settled YES. Realized $0.82.

Rationale:

• market=97.0%
• model=99.0%
• edge=1.0%
• exit_bid=96.0%
• spread=2.0%
• liq_proxy=8752.8
• hours_to_close=70.7
• quote_age=4m

Cincinnati vs Minnesota Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191410CINMIN-8 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191410CINMIN

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-19T21:17:48.258Z
Market close	2026-04-22T18:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T21:41:48.384Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.1%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	30,115.81
Volume 24h	30,115.81	Family	sports_match
Order ID	4c81f072-8b25-4971-9faa-5265a654949e

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=96.9%
• edge=2.1%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=98.6%
• signed_flow=-0.31
• liq_proxy=30115.8
• hours_to_close=68.9
• quote_age=1m

St. Louis vs Houston Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191410STLHOU-7 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191410STLHOU

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-19T21:11:24.634Z
Market close	2026-04-22T18:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T21:41:48.384Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	7.5%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	45,934.11
Volume 24h	45,934.11	Family	sports_match
Order ID	c25a656b-081e-491d-9329-9c92379496f3

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=91.5%
• edge=7.5%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-0.94
• liq_proxy=45934.1
• hours_to_close=69.0
• quote_age=5m

Chicago WS vs A's Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191605CWSATH-10 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191605CWSATH

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	93	Spent	$36.46
Entry price	0.39	Opened	2026-04-19T21:05:02.455Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:10:50.169Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-36.46
Requested	263	Filled	93
Remaining	170	Order status	settled
Limit	0.38	Quoted	0.38
Fill	0.39	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	5.4%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	59,923.66
Volume 24h	59,923.66	Family	sports_match
Order ID	cc6f2e9b-a66e-438d-8e7a-980da2318a62

NO settled against YES. Realized $-36.46.

Rationale:

• market=64.0%
• model=56.6%
• edge=5.4%
• exit_bid=36.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=66.5%
• signed_flow=-0.93
• liq_proxy=59923.7
• hours_to_close=71.0
• quote_age=23m

Kansas City vs New York Y Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191335KCNYY-8 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191335KCNYY

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	128	Spent	$101.63
Entry price	0.79	Opened	2026-04-19T20:58:47.024Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:04:27.843Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.63
Requested	128	Filled	128
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.78	Quoted	0.78
Fill	0.79	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	90.7%	Edge	7.2%
Spread	4.0%	Liquidity	176,120.12
Volume 24h	176,120.12	Family	sports_match
Order ID	9ed5ea2d-bf2a-4586-9cda-09705e4c7c4d

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.63.

Rationale:

• market=76.0%
• model=85.2%
• edge=7.2%
• exit_bid=74.0%
• spread=4.0%
• recent_vwap=72.2%
• signed_flow=0.92
• liq_proxy=176120.1
• hours_to_close=68.6
• quote_age=2m

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335KCNYY-NYY2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335KCNYY

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	52	Spent	$43.32
Entry price	0.83	Opened	2026-04-19T20:58:47.020Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:04:27.843Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$52.00	Realized P&L	$8.68
Requested	121	Filled	52
Remaining	69	Order status	settled
Limit	0.82	Quoted	0.82
Fill	0.83	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.6%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	334,880.85
Volume 24h	334,880.85	Family	sports_match
Order ID	8f2d8b8d-d10f-4de8-af2e-0db9bb16d0b1

YES settled YES. Realized $8.68.

Rationale:

• market=82.0%
• model=90.6%
• edge=8.6%
• exit_bid=79.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=81.7%
• signed_flow=0.80
• liq_proxy=334880.8
• hours_to_close=68.6
• quote_age=2m

Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191610TEXSEA-SEA2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191610TEXSEA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	131	Spent	$101.13
Entry price	0.77	Opened	2026-04-19T20:45:57.640Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:51:45.344Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$131.00	Realized P&L	$29.87
Requested	131	Filled	131
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.76	Quoted	0.76
Fill	0.77	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	1.4%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	41,492.78
Volume 24h	41,492.78	Family	sports_match
Order ID	07d4e7f5-8814-4b8d-94ec-573dd73227c6

YES settled YES. Realized $29.87.

Rationale:

• market=75.0%
• model=77.4%
• edge=1.4%
• exit_bid=74.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=64.2%
• signed_flow=0.64
• liq_proxy=41492.8
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=4m

Texas vs Seattle Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191610TEXSEA-8 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191610TEXSEA

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	222	Spent	$102.34
Entry price	0.46	Opened	2026-04-19T20:45:57.637Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:51:45.344Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$222.00	Realized P&L	$119.66
Requested	222	Filled	222
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.45	Quoted	0.45
Fill	0.46	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.1%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	84,877.62
Volume 24h	84,877.62	Family	sports_match
Order ID	c15910e7-2926-4918-8bd8-c61ee24a6cdc

NO settled NO. Realized $119.66.

Rationale:

• market=55.0%
• model=52.9%
• edge=2.1%
• exit_bid=44.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=62.1%
• signed_flow=-0.58
• liq_proxy=84877.6
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=4m

A's wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191605CWSATH-ATH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191605CWSATH

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	109	Spent	$100.61
Entry price	0.92	Opened	2026-04-19T20:39:30.545Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:10:50.169Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$109.00	Realized P&L	$8.39
Requested	109	Filled	109
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.91	Quoted	0.91
Fill	0.92	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	4.0%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	136,625.65
Volume 24h	136,625.65	Family	sports_match
Order ID	37898dbf-1b56-4971-beaf-cbdd393959f4

NO settled NO. Realized $8.39.

Rationale:

• market=10.0%
• model=5.0%
• edge=4.0%
• exit_bid=88.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=11.6%
• signed_flow=-0.85
• liq_proxy=136625.6
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=3m

Toronto vs Arizona Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191610TORAZ-9 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191610TORAZ

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$20.50
Entry price	0.04	Opened	2026-04-19T20:26:42.860Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:51:45.344Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-20.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.03	Quoted	0.03
Fill	0.04	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	1.6%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	37,644.34
Volume 24h	37,644.34	Family	sports_match
Order ID	91a65204-cccd-43be-9a27-83fc65e4797c

NO settled against YES. Realized $-20.50.

Rationale:

• market=97.5%
• model=95.4%
• edge=1.6%
• exit_bid=2.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=66.2%
• signed_flow=0.77
• liq_proxy=37644.3
• hours_to_close=71.7
• quote_age=0m

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >82.99 on Apr 21, 2026?

Ticker: KXWTI-26APR21-T82.99 | Event: KXWTI-26APR21

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	117	Spent	$100.74
Entry price	0.86	Opened	2026-04-19T20:07:38.873Z
Market close	2026-04-21T18:30:00Z	Current bid	0.74
Current mid	0.81	Live P&L at bid	$-14.16
Live P&L at mid	$-5.97	Requested	117
Filled	117	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.85
Quoted	0.85	Fill	0.86
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	73.9%
Edge	2.1%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	1,276.68	Volume 24h	301.86
Family	ladder_threshold	Order ID	ce705293-5308-4125-9d10-92dd300e45f8

Rationale:

• market=84.5%
• model=87.1%
• edge=2.1%
• exit_bid=84.0%
• spread=1.0%
• liq_proxy=1276.7
• hours_to_close=46.4
• quote_age=5m

Los Angeles D wins by over 2.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191510LADCOL-LAD3 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191510LADCOL

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	181	Spent	$101.54
Entry price	0.56	Opened	2026-04-19T19:48:26.974Z
Market close	2026-04-22T19:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:26:13.444Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.54
Requested	181	Filled	181
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.55	Quoted	0.55
Fill	0.56	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	10.1%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	81,147.09
Volume 24h	81,147.09	Family	sports_match
Order ID	911ef50b-4e9b-4bf3-b0b8-69c741a9f74c

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.54.

Rationale:

• market=54.5%
• model=65.1%
• edge=10.1%
• exit_bid=54.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=60.0%
• signed_flow=0.98
• liq_proxy=81147.1
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=2m

Baltimore vs Cleveland Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191340BALCLE-12 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR191340BALCLE

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	222	Spent	$102.34
Entry price	0.46	Opened	2026-04-19T19:35:42.847Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T20:31:45.720Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$222.00	Realized P&L	$119.66
Requested	222	Filled	222
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.45	Quoted	0.45
Fill	0.46	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	9.1%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	18,150.84
Volume 24h	18,150.84	Family	sports_match
Order ID	a60906d3-f8bb-4444-bd40-c382d675dcba

YES settled YES. Realized $119.66.

Rationale:

• market=44.5%
• model=54.1%
• edge=9.1%
• exit_bid=44.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=56.6%
• signed_flow=0.92
• liq_proxy=18150.8
• hours_to_close=70.1
• quote_age=23m

San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335SFWSH-SF2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335SFWSH

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	106	Spent	$100.81
Entry price	0.95	Opened	2026-04-19T19:22:52.353Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T20:12:41.707Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$106.00	Realized P&L	$5.19
Requested	106	Filled	106
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.94	Quoted	0.94
Fill	0.95	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.6%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	90,331
Volume 24h	90,331	Family	sports_match
Order ID	3644e1c3-dca0-4253-9505-d44599cc0b73

NO settled NO. Realized $5.19.

Rationale:

• market=6.0%
• model=3.4%
• edge=2.6%
• exit_bid=93.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=16.2%
• signed_flow=-0.38
• liq_proxy=90331.0
• hours_to_close=70.2
• quote_age=16m

Houston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191410STLHOU-HOU2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191410STLHOU

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	499	Spent	$40.92
Entry price	0.08	Opened	2026-04-19T19:22:52.352Z
Market close	2026-04-22T18:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T21:35:26.389Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-40.92
Requested	499	Filled	499
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.07	Quoted	0.07
Fill	0.08	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	3.9%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	22,112.04
Volume 24h	22,112.04	Family	sports_match
Order ID	adecf5bb-2148-4d6c-abec-0ed79ce6f56e

YES settled against NO. Realized $-40.92.

Rationale:

• market=6.0%
• model=10.9%
• edge=3.9%
• exit_bid=5.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=24.9%
• signed_flow=-0.07
• liq_proxy=22112.0
• hours_to_close=70.8
• quote_age=1m

Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335TBPIT-PIT2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335TBPIT

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	149	Spent	$101.62
Entry price	0.68	Opened	2026-04-19T19:09:59.793Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T20:19:04.334Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$149.00	Realized P&L	$47.38
Requested	149	Filled	149
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.67	Quoted	0.67
Fill	0.68	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	2.4%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	56,495.91
Volume 24h	56,495.91	Family	sports_match
Order ID	cb15e359-d49c-4a1c-8f3c-ca69dc1e9fa5

YES settled YES. Realized $47.38.

Rationale:

• market=65.0%
• model=69.3%
• edge=2.4%
• exit_bid=65.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=57.6%
• signed_flow=0.92
• liq_proxy=56495.9
• hours_to_close=70.4
• quote_age=7m

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191410CINMIN-MIN2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191410CINMIN

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	178	Spent	$101.64
Entry price	0.57	Opened	2026-04-19T19:03:35.816Z
Market close	2026-04-22T18:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T21:41:48.384Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.64
Requested	178	Filled	178
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.56	Quoted	0.56
Fill	0.57	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	5.3%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	19,060.19
Volume 24h	19,060.19	Family	sports_match
Order ID	1cb4c15f-cd54-4653-a551-68560aab7ef3

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.64.

Rationale:

• market=55.5%
• model=61.3%
• edge=5.3%
• exit_bid=55.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=54.7%
• signed_flow=0.44
• liq_proxy=19060.2
• hours_to_close=71.1
• quote_age=7m

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191340BALCLE-CLE2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191340BALCLE

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	50	Spent	$47.55
Entry price	0.95	Opened	2026-04-19T18:50:52.259Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T20:31:45.720Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$50.00	Realized P&L	$2.45
Requested	106	Filled	50
Remaining	56	Order status	settled
Limit	0.94	Quoted	0.94
Fill	0.95	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	5.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	80,528.58
Volume 24h	80,528.58	Family	sports_match
Order ID	f7cecb68-9bb2-47fe-8560-6917d135d38a

YES settled YES. Realized $2.45.

Rationale:

• market=94.0%
• model=99.0%
• edge=5.0%
• exit_bid=93.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=91.6%
• signed_flow=0.85
• liq_proxy=80528.6
• hours_to_close=70.8
• quote_age=4m

Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191340MILMIA-MIL2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191340MILMIA

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	499	Spent	$75.35
Entry price	0.15	Opened	2026-04-19T18:06:26.703Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T20:51:00.535Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-75.35
Requested	499	Filled	499
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.14	Quoted	0.14
Fill	0.15	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	6.8%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	112,759.36
Volume 24h	112,759.36	Family	sports_match
Order ID	fe944cf3-56b9-4b60-b45a-f0263c473d9d

YES settled against NO. Realized $-75.35.

Rationale:

• market=14.0%
• model=20.8%
• edge=6.8%
• exit_bid=13.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=16.5%
• signed_flow=0.88
• liq_proxy=112759.4
• hours_to_close=71.6
• quote_age=4m

Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Winner?

Ticker: KXIPLGAME-26APR19LSGPBKS-PBKS | Event: KXIPLGAME-26APR19LSGPBKS

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-19T17:53:43.619Z
Market close	2026-04-22T14:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T17:58:46.422Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	3.6%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	4,692,668.4
Volume 24h	4,692,668.4	Family	sports_match
Order ID	2d047c26-21a6-4e0f-b3fb-970a7153a392

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=95.4%
• edge=3.6%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-1.00
• liq_proxy=4692668.4
• hours_to_close=68.1
• quote_age=1m

Will Trump say "Bibi / Netanyahu" before Apr 20, 2026?

Ticker: KXTRUMPSAY-26APR20-BIBI | Event: KXTRUMPSAY-26APR20

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-19T15:28:00.558Z
Market close	2026-04-20T14:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-20T00:38:39.966Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	589,660.45
Volume 24h	17,426.15	Family	other
Order ID	ed3f3e30-443a-4638-b165-3f09885717f0

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=91.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-1.00
• liq_proxy=589660.5
• hours_to_close=22.5
• quote_age=3m

What will Zohran Mamdani say during Meet the Press?

Ticker: KXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR19-HEAL | Event: KXMAMDANIMENTION-26APR19

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-19T15:21:42.151Z
Market close	2026-04-20T14:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T15:39:24.988Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	4.4%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	31,554.82
Volume 24h	31,554.82	Family	other
Order ID	d8374e45-de0f-43be-a4a4-8c9a0cd88986

YES settled against NO. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=1.0%
• model=5.4%
• edge=4.4%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=1.0%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=31554.8
• hours_to_close=22.6
• quote_age=2m

Seattle wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181915TEXSEA-SEA2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181915TEXSEA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	135	Spent	$101.39
Entry price	0.75	Opened	2026-04-19T00:41:39.561Z
Market close	2026-04-21T23:15:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T02:41:31.593Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$135.00	Realized P&L	$33.61
Requested	135	Filled	135
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.74	Quoted	0.74
Fill	0.75	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	3.3%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	68,495.91
Volume 24h	68,495.91	Family	sports_match
Order ID	eeb95358-c098-453f-a04a-339fae0203fb

YES settled YES. Realized $33.61.

Rationale:

• market=73.0%
• model=77.2%
• edge=3.3%
• exit_bid=73.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=72.0%
• signed_flow=-0.33
• liq_proxy=68495.9
• hours_to_close=70.6
• quote_age=5m

Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181915ATLPHI-ATL2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181915ATLPHI

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	161	Spent	$101.59
Entry price	0.63	Opened	2026-04-19T00:22:29.393Z
Market close	2026-04-21T23:15:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T02:09:44.869Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$161.00	Realized P&L	$59.41
Requested	161	Filled	161
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.62	Quoted	0.62
Fill	0.63	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	7.9%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	123,006.92
Volume 24h	123,006.92	Family	sports_match
Order ID	6be11a40-4902-4fbd-ac69-d6432d688291

YES settled YES. Realized $59.41.

Rationale:

• market=61.0%
• model=69.9%
• edge=7.9%
• exit_bid=61.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=56.3%
• signed_flow=0.89
• liq_proxy=123006.9
• hours_to_close=70.9
• quote_age=10m

Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR182010LADCOL-LAD2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR182010LADCOL

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	133	Spent	$101.48
Entry price	0.76	Opened	2026-04-19T00:22:29.390Z
Market close	2026-04-22T00:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T03:06:53.017Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.48
Requested	133	Filled	133
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.75	Quoted	0.75
Fill	0.76	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.8%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	121,973.18
Volume 24h	121,973.18	Family	sports_match
Order ID	9bacf6bd-dfc4-4c7c-bd8b-27d28adcff47

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.48.

Rationale:

• market=73.5%
• model=83.8%
• edge=8.8%
• exit_bid=72.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=77.3%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=121973.2
• hours_to_close=71.8
• quote_age=6m

Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181810BALCLE-CLE2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181810BALCLE

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	322	Spent	$103.36
Entry price	0.32	Opened	2026-04-18T23:44:14.270Z
Market close	2026-04-21T22:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T00:46:42.351Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-103.36
Requested	322	Filled	322
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.31	Quoted	0.31
Fill	0.32	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	1.2%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	153,931.84
Volume 24h	153,931.84	Family	sports_match
Order ID	a43e669e-e37c-4727-824c-0ec21fd44d9e

NO settled against YES. Realized $-103.36.

Rationale:

• market=70.0%
• model=67.8%
• edge=1.2%
• exit_bid=30.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=68.6%
• signed_flow=-0.78
• liq_proxy=153931.8
• hours_to_close=70.4
• quote_age=8m

Houston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181910STLHOU-HOU2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181910STLHOU

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	260	Spent	$86.06
Entry price	0.33	Opened	2026-04-18T23:25:04.604Z
Market close	2026-04-21T23:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T02:16:05.604Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-86.06
Requested	312	Filled	260
Remaining	52	Order status	settled
Limit	0.32	Quoted	0.32
Fill	0.33	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	3.3%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	38,453.9
Volume 24h	38,453.9	Family	sports_match
Order ID	90f5938d-8e32-4724-a555-e1b5c0f7b8fe

YES settled against NO. Realized $-86.06.

Rationale:

• market=31.5%
• model=35.3%
• edge=3.3%
• exit_bid=31.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=33.0%
• signed_flow=0.68
• liq_proxy=38453.9
• hours_to_close=71.7
• quote_age=3m

Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181610MILMIA-MIL3 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181610MILMIA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	136	Spent	$100.78
Entry price	0.74	Opened	2026-04-18T22:02:14.510Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T23:17:19.891Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$136.00	Realized P&L	$35.22
Requested	136	Filled	136
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.73	Quoted	0.73
Fill	0.74	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	1.2%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	13,287.87
Volume 24h	13,287.87	Family	sports_match
Order ID	bccf374b-836b-412b-a96a-cb106cf6bf0c

YES settled YES. Realized $35.22.

Rationale:

• market=72.0%
• model=74.2%
• edge=1.2%
• exit_bid=72.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=75.4%
• signed_flow=-0.14
• liq_proxy=13287.9
• hours_to_close=70.1
• quote_age=6m

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181610DETBOS-BOS2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181610DETBOS

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	500	Spent	$35.50
Entry price	0.07	Opened	2026-04-18T21:11:13.561Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T22:51:55.053Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-35.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.06	Quoted	0.06
Fill	0.07	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	9.7%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	13,631.31
Volume 24h	13,631.31	Family	sports_match
Order ID	91670e45-09ac-45fc-a9ed-f40b08ccda5a

YES settled against NO. Realized $-35.50.

Rationale:

• market=5.5%
• model=15.7%
• edge=9.7%
• exit_bid=5.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=18.0%
• signed_flow=0.97
• liq_proxy=13631.3
• hours_to_close=71.0
• quote_age=5m

San Francisco vs Washington Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605SFWSH-14 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605SFWSH

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	125	Spent	$61.88
Entry price	0.49	Opened	2026-04-18T21:04:51.352Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T23:49:17.173Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-61.88
Requested	208	Filled	125
Remaining	83	Order status	settled
Limit	0.48	Quoted	0.48
Fill	0.49	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	69.6%	Edge	2.1%
Spread	5.0%	Liquidity	8,935.22
Volume 24h	8,935.22	Family	sports_match
Order ID	1a3cc0f8-3709-414d-abe6-03df8d7d9790

YES settled against NO. Realized $-61.88.

Rationale:

• market=47.0%
• model=50.1%
• edge=2.1%
• exit_bid=43.0%
• spread=5.0%
• liq_proxy=8935.2
• hours_to_close=71.0
• quote_age=13m

Washington wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605SFWSH-WSH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605SFWSH

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	131	Spent	$101.53
Entry price	0.78	Opened	2026-04-18T20:58:27.895Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T23:49:17.173Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-101.53
Requested	131	Filled	131
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.76	Quoted	0.76
Fill	0.78	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	69.6%	Edge	1.9%
Spread	5.0%	Liquidity	9,808.98
Volume 24h	9,808.98	Family	sports_match
Order ID	50923f68-4350-49f7-b6f7-2ef929ede692

YES settled against NO. Realized $-101.53.

Rationale:

• market=73.5%
• model=77.9%
• edge=1.9%
• exit_bid=71.0%
• spread=5.0%
• liq_proxy=9809.0
• hours_to_close=71.1
• quote_age=1m

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" before Apr 20, 2026?

Ticker: KXTRUMPSAY-26APR20-SLEE | Event: KXTRUMPSAY-26APR20

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-18T20:58:27.869Z
Market close	2026-04-20T14:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T21:35:21.267Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	664,393.28
Volume 24h	29,531.65	Family	other
Order ID	ace1cb46-b5af-400b-b996-f778af8c3325

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=91.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-1.00
• liq_proxy=664393.3
• hours_to_close=41.0
• quote_age=1m

Chicago WS vs A's Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605CWSATH-10 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605CWSATH

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	114	Spent	$100.66
Entry price	0.88	Opened	2026-04-18T20:32:56.426Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T23:55:40.751Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$114.00	Realized P&L	$13.34
Requested	114	Filled	114
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.87	Quoted	0.87
Fill	0.88	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	12.0%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	39,844.32
Volume 24h	39,844.32	Family	sports_match
Order ID	dd79c1b9-6c28-4269-9867-93b4a40606c6	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-18T20:32:23.331Z:761e0227-3d49-498a-8184-79fa37c40838:KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605CWSATH-10:6edce4ba-baaa-4385-8e65-19905623e387

YES settled YES. Realized $13.34.

Rationale:

• market=85.0%
• model=99.0%
• edge=12.0%
• exit_bid=84.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=84.9%
• signed_flow=0.97
• liq_proxy=39844.3
• hours_to_close=71.5
• quote_age=1m

A's wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605CWSATH-ATH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605CWSATH

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	260	Spent	$29.12
Entry price	0.11	Opened	2026-04-18T20:26:32.512Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T23:55:40.751Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-29.12
Requested	500	Filled	260
Remaining	240	Order status	settled
Limit	0.10	Quoted	0.10
Fill	0.11	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	6.0%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	55,143.33
Volume 24h	55,143.33	Family	sports_match
Order ID	a2cd55b7-abb3-43ba-98d8-1dcf91c42f45

YES settled against NO. Realized $-29.12.

Rationale:

• market=10.0%
• model=16.0%
• edge=6.0%
• exit_bid=8.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=34.4%
• signed_flow=0.14
• liq_proxy=55143.3
• hours_to_close=71.6
• quote_age=0m

Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181420NYMCHC-CHC2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181420NYMCHC

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	37	Spent	$30.01
Entry price	0.81	Opened	2026-04-18T20:07:28.510Z
Market close	2026-04-21T18:20:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T21:03:30.815Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$37.00	Realized P&L	$6.99
Requested	125	Filled	37
Remaining	88	Order status	settled
Limit	0.80	Quoted	0.80
Fill	0.81	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	5.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	112,792.71
Volume 24h	112,792.71	Family	sports_match
Order ID	5e81389b-8db9-4136-a29a-e9964d440490

YES settled YES. Realized $6.99.

Rationale:

• market=79.5%
• model=85.0%
• edge=5.0%
• exit_bid=79.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=79.9%
• signed_flow=0.65
• liq_proxy=112792.7
• hours_to_close=70.2
• quote_age=5m

Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605TBPIT-9 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181605TBPIT

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	243	Spent	$102.30
Entry price	0.42	Opened	2026-04-18T20:07:28.508Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T02:28:52.921Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$243.00	Realized P&L	$140.70
Requested	243	Filled	243
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.41	Quoted	0.41
Fill	0.42	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	6.5%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	20,987.47
Volume 24h	20,987.47	Family	sports_match
Order ID	6eaa09a8-7371-4a6f-b217-571f78225f9c

YES settled YES. Realized $140.70.

Rationale:

• market=40.5%
• model=47.5%
• edge=6.5%
• exit_bid=40.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=53.4%
• signed_flow=0.40
• liq_proxy=20987.5
• hours_to_close=72.0
• quote_age=0m

Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605TBPIT-TB2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181605TBPIT

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	260	Spent	$47.58
Entry price	0.18	Opened	2026-04-18T20:07:28.507Z
Market close	2026-04-21T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T02:28:52.921Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-47.58
Requested	499	Filled	260
Remaining	239	Order status	settled
Limit	0.17	Quoted	0.17
Fill	0.18	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.7%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	22,728.8
Volume 24h	22,728.8	Family	sports_match
Order ID	1d7930e6-27f4-4abd-93c1-d26e923d3cf6

YES settled against NO. Realized $-47.58.

Rationale:

• market=16.0%
• model=25.7%
• edge=8.7%
• exit_bid=14.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=26.4%
• signed_flow=0.97
• liq_proxy=22728.8
• hours_to_close=72.0
• quote_age=21m

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181410CINMIN-MIN2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181410CINMIN

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	188	Spent	$101.71
Entry price	0.54	Opened	2026-04-18T18:50:45.629Z
Market close	2026-04-21T18:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T21:16:16.368Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$188.00	Realized P&L	$86.29
Requested	188	Filled	188
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.53	Quoted	0.53
Fill	0.54	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	4.9%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	148,393.6
Volume 24h	148,393.6	Family	sports_match
Order ID	007ca8ce-a974-4f40-a8e8-337ba8611401

NO settled NO. Realized $86.29.

Rationale:

• market=48.0%
• model=42.1%
• edge=4.9%
• exit_bid=52.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=45.3%
• signed_flow=-0.60
• liq_proxy=148393.6
• hours_to_close=71.3
• quote_age=24m

Kansas City vs New York Y Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181335KCNYY-10 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181335KCNYY

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	149	Spent	$101.62
Entry price	0.68	Opened	2026-04-18T18:37:59.307Z
Market close	2026-04-21T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T20:18:52.928Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$149.00	Realized P&L	$47.38
Requested	149	Filled	149
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.67	Quoted	0.67
Fill	0.68	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	10.4%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	66,286.21
Volume 24h	66,286.21	Family	sports_match
Order ID	a8f3326f-259a-49db-88d9-751f179b1dbe	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-18T18:37:26.376Z:aff525f0-b3e5-40fb-bc61-3cf62a5833bf:KXMLBTOTAL-26APR181335KCNYY-10:0937a301-9d5e-4844-bda7-97274b6dc88a

YES settled YES. Realized $47.38.

Rationale:

• market=66.0%
• model=77.4%
• edge=10.4%
• exit_bid=65.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=69.0%
• signed_flow=0.88
• liq_proxy=66286.2
• hours_to_close=71.0
• quote_age=1m

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181335KCNYY-NYY2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR181335KCNYY

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	114	Spent	$101.00
Entry price	0.89	Opened	2026-04-18T18:18:53.159Z
Market close	2026-04-21T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T20:18:52.928Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$114.00	Realized P&L	$13.00
Requested	114	Filled	114
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.87	Quoted	0.87
Fill	0.89	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	88.6%	Edge	9.5%
Spread	6.0%	Liquidity	365,624.77
Volume 24h	365,624.77	Family	sports_match
Order ID	4a621429-9717-47b4-9959-5acb8da44d50

YES settled YES. Realized $13.00.

Rationale:

• market=87.0%
• model=96.5%
• edge=9.5%
• exit_bid=81.0%
• spread=6.0%
• recent_vwap=82.2%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=365624.8
• hours_to_close=71.3
• quote_age=2m

How long will Donald Trump speak for at Turning Point USA: Build the Red Wall?

Ticker: KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-APR1926-54 | Event: KXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-APR1926

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-18T15:46:36.124Z
Market close	2026-04-19T03:59:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T16:29:47.360Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	134,212.71
Volume 24h	134,212.71	Family	other
Order ID	a1a27418-b0e1-49c0-b7d1-9cf91e56c2ce

YES settled against NO. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=1.0%
• model=9.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=1.0%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=134212.7
• hours_to_close=12.2
• quote_age=1m

Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority become law before Apr 21, 2026?

Ticker: KXFISAEXTEND-26MAR-APR21 | Event: KXFISAEXTEND-26MAR

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	436	Spent	$17.88
Entry price	0.04	Opened	2026-04-18T15:33:53.272Z
Market close	2026-04-21T14:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T16:04:22.080Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-17.88
Requested	500	Filled	436
Remaining	64	Order status	settled
Limit	0.03	Quoted	0.03
Fill	0.04	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.8%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	43,074.77
Volume 24h	40,091.85	Family	other
Order ID	83c5f6fe-390c-407a-86e9-b961124ce307

NO settled against YES. Realized $-17.88.

Rationale:

• market=97.5%
• model=94.3%
• edge=2.8%
• exit_bid=2.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=98.0%
• signed_flow=-0.38
• liq_proxy=43074.8
• hours_to_close=70.4
• quote_age=5m

Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140TORAZ-AZ2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140TORAZ

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	121	Spent	$100.79
Entry price	0.83	Opened	2026-04-18T03:42:40.870Z
Market close	2026-04-21T01:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T04:13:12.817Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$121.00	Realized P&L	$20.21
Requested	121	Filled	121
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.82	Quoted	0.82
Fill	0.83	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.7%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	98,386.73
Volume 24h	98,386.73	Family	sports_match
Order ID	7864ee59-6f34-4b89-a42f-a7e5f0f18dd3

YES settled YES. Realized $20.21.

Rationale:

• market=79.0%
• model=90.7%
• edge=8.7%
• exit_bid=79.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=82.0%
• signed_flow=0.72
• liq_proxy=98386.7
• hours_to_close=70.0
• quote_age=1m

San Diego vs Los Angeles A Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR172138SDLAA-8 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR172138SDLAA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	125	Spent	$101.63
Entry price	0.81	Opened	2026-04-18T03:10:56.299Z
Market close	2026-04-21T01:38:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T04:51:34.290Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$125.00	Realized P&L	$23.37
Requested	125	Filled	125
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.80	Quoted	0.80
Fill	0.81	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	10.7%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	41,883.84
Volume 24h	41,883.84	Family	sports_match
Order ID	65866cc2-9267-4b00-8ac6-dd1029bdeea5

YES settled YES. Realized $23.37.

Rationale:

• market=80.0%
• model=90.7%
• edge=10.7%
• exit_bid=77.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=83.0%
• signed_flow=0.86
• liq_proxy=41883.8
• hours_to_close=70.5
• quote_age=4m

A's wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140CWSATH-ATH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140CWSATH

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	112	Spent	$101.02
Entry price	0.90	Opened	2026-04-18T02:32:36.348Z
Market close	2026-04-21T01:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T04:45:12.209Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$112.00	Realized P&L	$10.98
Requested	112	Filled	112
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.89	Quoted	0.89
Fill	0.90	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	7.5%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	119,866.88
Volume 24h	119,866.88	Family	sports_match
Order ID	264cc423-4451-4b40-beb3-849171826803

NO settled NO. Realized $10.98.

Rationale:

• market=13.0%
• model=3.5%
• edge=7.5%
• exit_bid=87.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=14.1%
• signed_flow=-0.77
• liq_proxy=119866.9
• hours_to_close=71.1
• quote_age=6m

Texas wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140TEXSEA-TEX2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140TEXSEA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	172	Spent	$101.65
Entry price	0.59	Opened	2026-04-18T02:32:36.347Z
Market close	2026-04-21T01:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T05:04:15.505Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$172.00	Realized P&L	$70.35
Requested	172	Filled	172
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.58	Quoted	0.58
Fill	0.59	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	12.4%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	93,490.11
Volume 24h	93,490.11	Family	sports_match
Order ID	b1a2d725-d2ed-45fb-85e2-1d6dc34535fe	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-18T02:32:02.968Z:a5d7007a-b963-4a17-ac10-b6072dae5225:KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172140TEXSEA-TEX2:2d52f005-87d5-4e6d-9725-4224fad908f3

YES settled YES. Realized $70.35.

Rationale:

• market=57.5%
• model=70.4%
• edge=12.4%
• exit_bid=57.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=59.8%
• signed_flow=0.95
• liq_proxy=93490.1
• hours_to_close=71.1
• quote_age=6m

Milwaukee vs Miami Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171910MILMIA-9 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171910MILMIA

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-18T02:19:48.596Z
Market close	2026-04-20T23:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T02:44:01.005Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	60,622.05
Volume 24h	60,622.05	Family	sports_match
Order ID	ca8bf29f-c347-4a0f-937c-78975a2ac432

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=91.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-1.00
• liq_proxy=60622.1
• hours_to_close=68.8
• quote_age=3m

Los Angeles A wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172138SDLAA-LAA2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172138SDLAA

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	260	Spent	$83.72
Entry price	0.32	Opened	2026-04-18T02:13:24.229Z
Market close	2026-04-21T01:38:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T04:51:34.290Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-83.72
Requested	322	Filled	260
Remaining	62	Order status	settled
Limit	0.31	Quoted	0.31
Fill	0.32	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	4.7%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	123,453.09
Volume 24h	123,453.09	Family	sports_match
Order ID	081a4605-4fe0-4f0c-9156-a68a17bb4ed9

NO settled against YES. Realized $-83.72.

Rationale:

• market=69.0%
• model=64.3%
• edge=4.7%
• exit_bid=29.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=66.7%
• signed_flow=-0.88
• liq_proxy=123453.1
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=1m

St. Louis wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172010STLHOU-STL2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172010STLHOU

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	260	Spent	$94.38
Entry price	0.36	Opened	2026-04-18T02:00:37.298Z
Market close	2026-04-21T00:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T03:09:36.305Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$260.00	Realized P&L	$165.62
Requested	285	Filled	260
Remaining	25	Order status	settled
Limit	0.35	Quoted	0.35
Fill	0.36	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	2.8%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	21,843.37
Volume 24h	21,843.37	Family	sports_match
Order ID	f17fa1e7-4e3c-4be1-80b5-4bc3800aa761

YES settled YES. Realized $165.62.

Rationale:

• market=34.0%
• model=37.8%
• edge=2.8%
• exit_bid=32.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=35.3%
• signed_flow=0.74
• liq_proxy=21843.4
• hours_to_close=70.2
• quote_age=58m

St. Louis vs Houston Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR172010STLHOU-9 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR172010STLHOU

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	119	Spent	$101.27
Entry price	0.85	Opened	2026-04-18T01:35:02.323Z
Market close	2026-04-21T00:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T03:09:36.305Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$119.00	Realized P&L	$17.73
Requested	119	Filled	119
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.84	Quoted	0.84
Fill	0.85	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.7%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	87,822.56
Volume 24h	87,822.56	Family	sports_match
Order ID	38bddd1a-6009-49f2-a16c-4e99ad9a92fc

YES settled YES. Realized $17.73.

Rationale:

• market=84.0%
• model=92.7%
• edge=8.7%
• exit_bid=83.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=88.1%
• signed_flow=0.67
• liq_proxy=87822.6
• hours_to_close=70.6
• quote_age=13m

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172010CINMIN-MIN2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172010CINMIN

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	119	Spent	$101.51
Entry price	0.85	Opened	2026-04-18T01:15:50.946Z
Market close	2026-04-21T00:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T02:56:50.631Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$119.00	Realized P&L	$17.49
Requested	119	Filled	119
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.84	Quoted	0.84
Fill	0.85	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	6.1%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	47,005.35
Volume 24h	47,005.35	Family	sports_match
Order ID	9ad481b6-aa5c-4ed0-876f-584627a385b7

NO settled NO. Realized $17.49.

Rationale:

• market=17.5%
• model=9.9%
• edge=6.1%
• exit_bid=81.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=23.5%
• signed_flow=-0.54
• liq_proxy=47005.3
• hours_to_close=70.9
• quote_age=4m

Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172040LADCOL-LAD2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR172040LADCOL

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	126	Spent	$101.05
Entry price	0.80	Opened	2026-04-18T01:15:50.945Z
Market close	2026-04-21T00:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T03:22:15.855Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$126.00	Realized P&L	$24.95
Requested	126	Filled	126
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.79	Quoted	0.79
Fill	0.80	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	6.0%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	58,764.67
Volume 24h	58,764.67	Family	sports_match
Order ID	02b64bae-180a-49bf-a371-c5da47139a52

YES settled YES. Realized $24.95.

Rationale:

• market=79.0%
• model=85.0%
• edge=6.0%
• exit_bid=77.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=71.5%
• signed_flow=0.94
• liq_proxy=58764.7
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=4m

Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171910MILMIA-MIL2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171910MILMIA

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	125	Spent	$101.50
Entry price	0.81	Opened	2026-04-18T00:43:49.021Z
Market close	2026-04-20T23:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T02:44:01.005Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$125.00	Realized P&L	$23.50
Requested	125	Filled	125
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.80	Quoted	0.80
Fill	0.81	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	2.2%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	26,594.29
Volume 24h	26,594.29	Family	sports_match
Order ID	561ff089-e0eb-46a7-a93f-8376901ff377

YES settled YES. Realized $23.50.

Rationale:

• market=79.0%
• model=82.2%
• edge=2.2%
• exit_bid=78.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=66.5%
• signed_flow=0.58
• liq_proxy=26594.3
• hours_to_close=70.4
• quote_age=27m

Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171810BALCLE-BAL2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171810BALCLE

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	70	Spent	$68.88
Entry price	0.98	Opened	2026-04-18T00:37:27.144Z
Market close	2026-04-20T22:10:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:27:20.614Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-68.88
Requested	103	Filled	70
Remaining	33	Order status	settled
Limit	0.97	Quoted	0.97
Fill	0.98	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	90.7%	Edge	2.0%
Spread	4.0%	Liquidity	38,727.02
Volume 24h	38,727.02	Family	sports_match
Order ID	6628e4c3-d8ce-4b63-a22e-f21ff64d1ce8

NO settled against YES. Realized $-68.88.

Rationale:

• market=4.0%
• model=1.0%
• edge=2.0%
• exit_bid=93.0%
• spread=4.0%
• recent_vwap=3.6%
• signed_flow=-0.13
• liq_proxy=38727.0
• hours_to_close=69.5
• quote_age=5m

New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171905KCNYY-NYY3 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171905KCNYY

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	187	Spent	$90.13
Entry price	0.48	Opened	2026-04-18T00:12:01.183Z
Market close	2026-04-20T23:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:52:52.888Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-90.13
Requested	212	Filled	187
Remaining	25	Order status	settled
Limit	0.47	Quoted	0.47
Fill	0.48	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	6.4%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	31,104.73
Volume 24h	31,104.73	Family	sports_match
Order ID	2fea4538-364d-4497-b2a5-b49556930970

YES settled against NO. Realized $-90.13.

Rationale:

• market=47.0%
• model=53.4%
• edge=6.4%
• exit_bid=45.0%
• spread=2.0%
• recent_vwap=46.6%
• signed_flow=0.84
• liq_proxy=31104.7
• hours_to_close=70.9
• quote_age=5m

Atlanta vs Philadelphia Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171840ATLPHI-11 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171840ATLPHI

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	50	Spent	$40.65
Entry price	0.81	Opened	2026-04-17T23:27:13.172Z
Market close	2026-04-20T22:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:27:20.614Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-40.65
Requested	125	Filled	50
Remaining	75	Order status	settled
Limit	0.80	Quoted	0.80
Fill	0.81	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.3%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	41,848.9
Volume 24h	41,848.9	Family	sports_match
Order ID	5d4ebe70-f958-416f-b276-87c2a584db2a

YES settled against NO. Realized $-40.65.

Rationale:

• market=77.0%
• model=88.3%
• edge=8.3%
• exit_bid=77.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=80.1%
• signed_flow=0.71
• liq_proxy=41848.9
• hours_to_close=71.2
• quote_age=5m

San Francisco vs Washington Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171845SFWSH-6 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171845SFWSH

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-17T23:14:23.643Z
Market close	2026-04-20T22:45:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:46:31.419Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-10.50
Requested	500	Filled	500
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.01	Quoted	0.01
Fill	0.02	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	3.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	32,138.37
Volume 24h	1,598.62	Family	sports_match
Order ID	fabd482d-e728-4157-8243-d6201d3c3460

NO settled against YES. Realized $-10.50.

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=96.0%
• edge=3.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=84.4%
• signed_flow=-0.27
• liq_proxy=32138.4
• hours_to_close=71.5
• quote_age=2m

Washington wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171845SFWSH-WSH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171845SFWSH

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	107	Spent	$100.69
Entry price	0.94	Opened	2026-04-17T23:08:00.255Z
Market close	2026-04-20T22:45:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:46:31.419Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$107.00	Realized P&L	$6.31
Requested	107	Filled	107
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.93	Quoted	0.93
Fill	0.94	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	73.9%	Edge	1.8%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	6,445.81
Volume 24h	6,445.81	Family	sports_match
Order ID	b5de216b-9de4-4bba-ab48-ceb1ae6b430d

NO settled NO. Realized $6.31.

Rationale:

• market=7.5%
• model=5.2%
• edge=1.8%
• exit_bid=92.0%
• spread=1.0%
• liq_proxy=6445.8
• hours_to_close=71.6
• quote_age=1m

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171840ATLPHI-PHI2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171840ATLPHI

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	125	Spent	$101.38
Entry price	0.81	Opened	2026-04-17T22:55:18.805Z
Market close	2026-04-20T22:40:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T01:27:20.614Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$125.00	Realized P&L	$23.62
Requested	125	Filled	125
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.80	Quoted	0.80
Fill	0.81	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	3.4%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	18,170.74
Volume 24h	18,170.74	Family	sports_match
Order ID	88529c44-22ff-4187-a04f-7dc660be6b53

NO settled NO. Realized $23.62.

Rationale:

• market=20.0%
• model=16.6%
• edge=3.4%
• exit_bid=79.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=27.6%
• signed_flow=-0.31
• liq_proxy=18170.7
• hours_to_close=71.7
• quote_age=3m

Will the S&P 500 be above 6999.9999 on Apr 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Ticker: KXINXU-26APR20H1600-T6999.9999 | Event: KXINXU-26APR20H1600

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	499	Spent	$41.42
Entry price	0.08	Opened	2026-04-17T20:22:54.676Z
Market close	2026-04-20T20:00:00Z	Current bid	0.08
Current mid	0.10	Live P&L at bid	$-1.50
Live P&L at mid	$8.48	Requested	499
Filled	499	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.07
Quoted	0.07	Fill	0.08
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	91.8%
Edge	6.2%	Spread	3.0%
Liquidity	18,618.6	Volume 24h	1,778
Family	commodity_threshold	Order ID	ed588fc5-43b8-4077-b923-f70a25461cdc

Rationale:

• market=96.0%
• model=86.8%
• edge=6.2%
• exit_bid=4.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=92.1%
• signed_flow=-0.99
• liq_proxy=18618.6
• hours_to_close=71.6
• quote_age=22m

New York M vs Chicago C Total Runs?

Ticker: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171420NYMCHC-12 | Event: KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171420NYMCHC

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	260	Spent	$29.12
Entry price	0.11	Opened	2026-04-17T19:10:46.066Z
Market close	2026-04-20T18:20:00Z	Settled	2026-04-17T21:06:07.522Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-29.12
Requested	500	Filled	260
Remaining	240	Order status	settled
Limit	0.10	Quoted	0.10
Fill	0.11	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	7.3%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	99,556.31
Volume 24h	99,556.31	Family	sports_match
Order ID	d55bc17e-41a2-4de4-841d-a113f9d386b3	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-17T19:07:36.799Z:3feb2969-c874-499c-a396-f6d77e1e2430:KXMLBTOTAL-26APR171420NYMCHC-12:a6862614-0f5b-4fa0-b598-24c425f00063

NO settled against YES. Realized $-29.12.

Rationale:

• source=codex-ai
• provider=codex
• model=default
• ai_yes=84.0%
• ai_conf=80.0%
• execution_side=no
• ai_override_category=confirm
• heuristic_yes=82.7%
• agreement=yes
• authorization=keep_base
• thesis=Model remains below market with strong no-side flow and executable no quotes; base no is coherent.
• support=Modeled yes (0.8269) is meaningfully below market yes (0.90).
• support=Recent tape includes multiple large no-aggressive clips.
• support=No-side is tradable (noBid 0.08 / noAsk 0.10) with high participation.
• risk=Intermittent yes-aggressive prints still occur near 0.94.
• risk=High-yes contracts can mean-revert quickly.
• market=90.0%
• model=82.7%
• edge=7.3%

Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171420NYMCHC-CHC2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171420NYMCHC

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	204	Spent	$102.41
Entry price	0.50	Opened	2026-04-17T18:53:52.896Z
Market close	2026-04-20T18:20:00Z	Settled	2026-04-17T21:06:07.522Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-102.41
Requested	204	Filled	204
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.49	Quoted	0.49
Fill	0.50	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	6.2%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	435,575.79
Volume 24h	435,575.79	Family	sports_match
Order ID	47d6d50e-0a82-4c40-a579-9a78bfca68fd	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-17T18:51:30.677Z:6af346ae-122d-43be-bb19-d10310a2094c:KXMLBSPREAD-26APR171420NYMCHC-CHC2:b961084f-1e30-436a-841a-fab3754424e8

NO settled against YES. Realized $-102.41.

Rationale:

• source=codex-ai
• provider=codex
• model=default
• ai_yes=46.0%
• ai_conf=77.0%
• execution_side=no
• ai_override_category=confirm
• heuristic_yes=44.8%
• agreement=yes
• authorization=keep_base
• thesis=Confirmed no with moderated conviction: residual remains strongly negative and recent flow is net no-aggressive, despite visible passive yes support.
• support=Modeled yes (0.4477) remains below market (0.53).
• support=Recent trade sequence is mostly no-taking, including a large 636.7 print.
• support=Tight spread (0.02) and very high participation support executable signal quality.
• risk=Large yes bid size implies potential absorption/support at current levels.
• risk=Some yes-aggressive prints at 0.53 show two-way demand persists.
• market=53.0%
• model=44.8%
• edge=6.2%

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >85.99 on Apr 17, 2026?

Ticker: KXWTI-26APR17-T85.99 | Event: KXWTI-26APR17

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	18	Spent	$17.48
Entry price	0.97	Opened	2026-04-17T15:54:21.165Z
Market close	2026-04-17T18:30:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T20:06:10.751Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$18.00	Realized P&L	$0.52
Requested	18	Filled	18
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.96	Quoted	0.96
Fill	0.97	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.2%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	51,389.43
Volume 24h	51,389.43	Family	ladder_threshold
Order ID	18c2bd0a-edf3-45d3-86dc-572df0fd89ff	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-17T15:51:57.364Z:baa38cce-d806-45ea-b27f-ab9cd0fe722d:KXWTI-26APR17-T85.99:849b476a-ade5-48c3-8e3f-6c9700bd9709

NO settled NO. Realized $0.52.

Rationale:

• source=codex-ai
• provider=codex
• model=default
• ai_yes=3.0%
• ai_conf=80.0%
• execution_side=no
• ai_override_category=confirm
• heuristic_yes=1.8%
• agreement=yes
• authorization=keep_base
• thesis=Confirm base NO. Despite recent YES taker bursts, the contract remains deeply NO-priced with tight quoting and strong turnover into a short remaining window, which is coherent with a low-tail breach probability.
• support=Market YES is still low (~4%) and model is lower (~1.78%).
• support=Top-of-book remains strongly NO-skewed (YES 0.04/0.05 vs NO 0.95/0.96) with 1% spread.
• support=~2.63 hours to close limits tail realization at this strike.
• risk=Recent tape is one-sided YES taking up to 0.07.
• risk=Signed-flow and prior/last price discontinuity indicate regime instability.
• market=4.0%
• model=1.8%
• edge=2.2%

Will the President's approval rating be below 41.1 according to RealClearPolitics?

Ticker: KXAPRPOTUS-26APR17-41.1 | Event: KXAPRPOTUS-26APR17

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	16	Spent	$13.47
Entry price	0.84	Opened	2026-04-16T15:06:44.529Z
Market close	2026-04-17T15:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-17T15:07:02.696Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$16.00	Realized P&L	$2.53
Requested	16	Filled	16
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.83	Quoted	0.83
Fill	0.84	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	92.9%	Edge	12.7%
Spread	2.0%	Liquidity	9,740
Volume 24h	9,740	Family	politics_binary
Order ID	ca85cb29-49c8-49a8-8065-0200708679cd	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-16T15:03:39.312Z:a5e7d32d-b85a-444f-9802-64ae58736e22:KXAPRPOTUS-26APR17-41.1:4e22eb10-553c-404b-8a6e-0417f57db22e

NO settled NO. Realized $2.53.

Rationale:

• source=codex-ai
• provider=codex
• model=default
• ai_yes=16.0%
• ai_conf=78.0%
• execution_side=no
• ai_override_category=confirm
• heuristic_yes=4.3%
• agreement=yes
• authorization=keep_base
• thesis=No-side microstructure remains coherent and liquid enough to confirm the base no call despite repricing risk.
• support=Persistent no-taker flow across sizable clips.
• support=Deep liquidity and tight 2-cent spread.
• support=Market and model both imply low yes probability.
• risk=Large move from previous price indicates update sensitivity.
• risk=No external poll-detail decomposition in payload.
• market=18.0%
• model=4.3%
• edge=12.7%

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >91.99 on Apr 16, 2026?

Ticker: KXWTI-26APR16-T91.99 | Event: KXWTI-26APR16

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	16	Spent	$13.49
Entry price	0.84	Opened	2026-04-16T14:41:43.740Z
Market close	2026-04-16T18:30:00Z	Settled	2026-04-17T14:05:40.841Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$16.00	Realized P&L	$2.51
Requested	16	Filled	16
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.83	Quoted	0.83
Fill	0.84	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	9.2%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	111,345
Volume 24h	111,345	Family	ladder_threshold
Order ID	76dcb653-71c3-4be0-8478-157ab0afd3f0	Decision ID	autopilot:2026-04-16T14:38:41.388Z:1267b9f7-f8ba-446f-8350-d360435ef051:KXWTI-26APR16-T91.99:6888a7a3-a9bc-44e1-a1ee-4581dadc5a38

YES settled YES. Realized $2.51.

Rationale:

• source=codex-ai
• provider=codex
• model=default
• ai_yes=84.0%
• ai_conf=81.0%
• execution_side=yes
• ai_override_category=confirm
• heuristic_yes=92.2%
• agreement=yes
• authorization=keep_base
• thesis=Only contract with enough liquidity, coherent ladder context, and supportive recent flow to clear the 75% confidence bar for a directional call.
• support=Largest volume/open-interest on slate with tight tradable spread.
• support=Recent tape concentrated around 0.82-0.83 with strong yes participation.
• support=Book has real yes bid support versus adjacent strikes.
• risk=Large jump from prior level raises overshoot/regime-shift risk.
• risk=No external spot/fundamental anchor in provided payload.
• market=80.0%
• model=92.2%
• edge=9.2%

Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?

Ticker: KXWCROUND-26SEMI-MEX | Event: KXWCROUND-26SEMI

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	19	Spent	$18.18
Entry price	0.96	Opened	2026-04-16T11:46:46.081Z
Market close	2026-08-03T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.44
Current mid	0.70	Live P&L at bid	$-9.82
Live P&L at mid	$-4.79	Requested	19
Filled	19	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.94
Quoted	0.94	Fill	0.96
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	67.5%
Edge	5.0%	Spread	7.0%
Liquidity	436.67	Volume 24h	41
Family	other	Order ID	7cdbb165-0b8d-4e15-96ce-aa87ff40f03b

Rationale:

• market=7.0%
• model=1.0%
• edge=5.0%
• exit_bid=87.0%
• spread=7.0%
• liq_proxy=436.7
• hours_to_close=2618.2
• quote_age=5m

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Apr 12, 2026 and Apr 18, 2026?

Ticker: KXEOWEEK-26APR18-0 | Event: KXEOWEEK-26APR18

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	28	Spent	$16.27
Entry price	0.58	Opened	2026-04-16T11:46:46.081Z
Market close	2026-04-26T03:59:00Z	Current bid	0.00
Current mid	0.01	Live P&L at bid	$-16.27
Live P&L at mid	$-16.13	Requested	28
Filled	28	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.57
Quoted	0.57	Fill	0.58
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	73.9%
Edge	3.1%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	12,594	Volume 24h	12,594
Family	politics_binary	Order ID	429d0eba-cd8c-4733-a3b1-02bff3d1de06

Rationale:

• market=44.0%
• model=39.9%
• edge=3.1%
• exit_bid=56.0%
• spread=1.0%
• liq_proxy=12594.0
• hours_to_close=232.2
• quote_age=1m

Will Switzerland qualify from World Cup Group B?

Ticker: KXWCGROUPQUAL-26B-SUI | Event: KXWCGROUPQUAL-26B

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	19	Spent	$17.80
Entry price	0.94	Opened	2026-04-16T11:46:46.081Z
Market close	2026-07-11T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.88
Current mid	0.90	Live P&L at bid	$-1.08
Live P&L at mid	$-0.70	Requested	19
Filled	19	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.92
Quoted	0.92	Fill	0.94
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	67.5%
Edge	2.1%	Spread	7.0%
Liquidity	460	Volume 24h	0
Family	other	Order ID	df0fe76b-553e-4872-9124-8a88641d3918

Rationale:

• market=88.5%
• model=94.1%
• edge=2.1%
• exit_bid=85.0%
• spread=7.0%
• liq_proxy=460.0
• hours_to_close=2066.2
• quote_age=5m

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be Between 91.00 and 91.99 on Apr 17, 2026?

Ticker: KXWTIW-26APR17-B91.5 | Event: KXWTIW-26APR17

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	32	Spent	$6.75
Entry price	0.21	Opened	2026-04-16T11:46:46.078Z
Market close	2026-04-17T18:30:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T19:59:49.057Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-6.75
Requested	90	Filled	32
Remaining	58	Order status	settled
Limit	0.20	Quoted	0.20
Fill	0.21	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	7.4%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	78,291
Volume 24h	78,291	Family	other
Order ID	0a12542a-3dd4-4519-a004-103bcf5e7677

YES settled against NO. Realized $-6.75.

Rationale:

• market=20.0%
• model=27.4%
• edge=7.4%
• exit_bid=19.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=19.7%
• signed_flow=0.74
• liq_proxy=78291.0
• hours_to_close=30.7
• quote_age=1m

Will United States Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 424.5?

Ticker: KXSHELTERCPI-26MAY12-T424.5 | Event: KXSHELTERCPI-26MAY12

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	18	Spent	$18.00
Entry price	1.00	Opened	2026-04-16T11:36:53.113Z
Market close	2026-05-12T12:29:00Z	Current bid	0.86
Current mid	0.92	Live P&L at bid	$-2.52
Live P&L at mid	$-1.44	Requested	18
Filled	18	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.98
Quoted	0.98	Fill	1.00
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	61.1%
Edge	1.0%	Spread	13.0%
Liquidity	196	Volume 24h	1
Family	ladder_threshold	Order ID	222f3384-a3da-4044-a58f-dc3f3a3bcdbd

Rationale:

• market=98.0%
• model=99.0%
• edge=1.0%
• exit_bid=85.0%
• spread=13.0%
• liq_proxy=196.0
• hours_to_close=624.9
• quote_age=8m

RTX 5090 price up in next week?

Ticker: KXRTX5090W-26APR17-0.4771 | Event: KXRTX5090W-26APR17

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	19	Spent	$17.88
Entry price	0.94	Opened	2026-04-16T11:36:53.110Z
Market close	2026-04-17T21:00:00Z	Current bid	0.00
Current mid	0.50	Live P&L at bid	$-17.88
Live P&L at mid	$-8.38	Requested	19
Filled	19	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.93
Quoted	0.93	Fill	0.94
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	70.5%
Edge	3.6%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	28	Volume 24h	28
Family	other	Order ID	f6c7c749-95f6-4194-a05b-6ed256b15e0d

Rationale:

• market=7.5%
• model=3.4%
• edge=3.6%
• exit_bid=92.0%
• spread=1.0%
• liq_proxy=28.0
• hours_to_close=33.4
• quote_age=3m

Will LD 307 (or equivalent legislation imposing a moratorium on large data centers in Maine) become law in Maine before May 1, 2026?

Ticker: KXMEDATACENTER-26MAY01 | Event: KXMEDATACENTER-26MAY01

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	9	Spent	$5.14
Entry price	0.57	Opened	2026-04-16T11:36:53.110Z
Market close	2026-05-01T03:59:00Z	Current bid	0.63
Current mid	0.65	Live P&L at bid	$0.53
Live P&L at mid	$0.71	Requested	9
Filled	9	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.56
Quoted	0.56	Fill	0.57
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	73.9%
Edge	1.0%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	1,746.9	Volume 24h	997
Family	other	Order ID	ad467c69-4d0e-4235-9ca0-2f194782f51b

Rationale:

• market=45.0%
• model=43.0%
• edge=1.0%
• exit_bid=55.0%
• spread=1.0%
• liq_proxy=1746.9
• hours_to_close=352.4
• quote_age=3m

Who will be the Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Ticker: KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26-KCHI | Event: KXUFCMIDDLEWEIGHTTITLE-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	24	Spent	$18.55
Entry price	0.77	Opened	2026-04-16T11:36:53.109Z
Market close	2026-12-31T17:00:00Z	Current bid	0.73
Current mid	0.74	Live P&L at bid	$-1.03
Live P&L at mid	$-0.79	Requested	24
Filled	24	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.75
Quoted	0.75	Fill	0.77
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	61.1%
Edge	2.5%	Spread	13.0%
Liquidity	8,360.25	Volume 24h	90
Family	other	Order ID	18d162b8-5064-4f20-b63f-71e2456b5e03

Rationale:

• market=75.0%
• model=77.5%
• edge=2.5%
• exit_bid=62.0%
• spread=13.0%
• liq_proxy=8360.3
• hours_to_close=6221.4
• quote_age=6m

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United?

Ticker: KXNEXTMANAGERMANU-26-LENR | Event: KXNEXTMANAGERMANU-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	27	Spent	$3.24
Entry price	0.12	Opened	2026-04-16T11:27:00.558Z
Market close	2026-08-08T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.00
Current mid	0.04	Live P&L at bid	$-3.24
Live P&L at mid	$-2.16	Requested	27
Filled	27	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.10
Quoted	0.10	Fill	0.12
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	64.3%
Edge	1.1%	Spread	10.0%
Liquidity	234.5	Volume 24h	0
Family	other	Order ID	5e7261a1-820f-4edc-b479-22c0f37cbedd

Rationale:

• market=10.0%
• model=11.1%
• edge=1.1%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=10.0%
• liq_proxy=234.5
• hours_to_close=2738.6
• quote_age=60m

Will United States - Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average for April 2026 be above 6.70ㅤ?

Ticker: KXUSGBEEF-26MAY12-T6.70 | Event: KXUSGBEEF-26MAY12

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	9	Spent	$4.40
Entry price	0.49	Opened	2026-04-16T11:27:00.558Z
Market close	2026-05-12T12:29:00Z	Current bid	0.38
Current mid	0.42	Live P&L at bid	$-0.98
Live P&L at mid	$-0.58	Requested	9
Filled	9	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.47
Quoted	0.47	Fill	0.49
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	65.4%
Edge	1.1%	Spread	9.0%
Liquidity	155	Volume 24h	1
Family	ladder_threshold	Order ID	a37a4260-fff9-4b11-92c8-d5da3ee069a5

Rationale:

• market=53.0%
• model=51.9%
• edge=1.1%
• exit_bid=38.0%
• spread=9.0%
• liq_proxy=155.0
• hours_to_close=625.0
• quote_age=59m

Will LSU qualify for the College Football Playoffs?

Ticker: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-LSU | Event: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	11	Spent	$6.40
Entry price	0.58	Opened	2026-04-16T11:27:00.557Z
Market close	2026-12-29T15:00:00Z	Current bid	0.55
Current mid	0.56	Live P&L at bid	$-0.35
Live P&L at mid	$-0.24	Requested	11
Filled	11	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.57
Quoted	0.57	Fill	0.58
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	72.9%
Edge	1.2%	Spread	2.0%
Liquidity	634.25	Volume 24h	475
Family	other	Order ID	e24aa7f9-48d5-49f9-a940-857bc5e76886

Rationale:

• market=43.0%
• model=41.8%
• edge=1.2%
• exit_bid=55.0%
• spread=2.0%
• liq_proxy=634.3
• hours_to_close=6171.6
• quote_age=59m

Golden State at Phoenix Winner?

Ticker: KXNBAGAME-26APR17GSWPHX-PHX | Event: KXNBAGAME-26APR17GSWPHX

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	33	Spent	$18.84
Entry price	0.57	Opened	2026-04-16T11:17:05.540Z
Market close	2026-05-02T02:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-18T04:57:55.324Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$33.00	Realized P&L	$14.16
Requested	33	Filled	33
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.56	Quoted	0.56
Fill	0.57	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	8.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	142,742.88
Volume 24h	11,876.88	Family	sports_match
Order ID	9562832e-1be6-4387-923b-55adc83d70f3

YES settled YES. Realized $14.16.

Rationale:

• market=56.0%
• model=64.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=55.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=56.0%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=142742.9
• hours_to_close=374.7
• quote_age=50m

Who will win Sixth Man of the Year?

Ticker: KXNBASIXTH-26-KJOH | Event: KXNBASIXTH-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	20	Spent	$18.26
Entry price	0.91	Opened	2026-04-16T11:17:05.540Z
Market close	2027-04-12T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.85
Current mid	0.86	Live P&L at bid	$-1.26
Live P&L at mid	$-0.96	Requested	20
Filled	20	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.90
Quoted	0.90	Fill	0.91
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	91.8%
Edge	7.5%	Spread	3.0%
Liquidity	334,624.87	Volume 24h	4,665
Family	sports_match	Order ID	0e44462b-2cf7-47d9-83ce-a687c4d97349

Rationale:

• market=89.0%
• model=97.5%
• edge=7.5%
• exit_bid=87.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=88.3%
• signed_flow=0.94
• liq_proxy=334624.9
• hours_to_close=8666.7
• quote_age=57m

Who will win Rookie of the Year?

Ticker: KXNBAROY-26-KKNU | Event: KXNBAROY-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	14	Spent	$5.67
Entry price	0.41	Opened	2026-04-16T11:17:05.540Z
Market close	2027-04-12T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.27
Current mid	0.28	Live P&L at bid	$-1.89
Live P&L at mid	$-1.68	Requested	14
Filled	14	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.39
Quoted	0.39	Fill	0.41
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	89.6%
Edge	7.3%	Spread	5.0%
Liquidity	571,279.41	Volume 24h	222,911.88
Family	sports_match	Order ID	1e994bd0-015a-42a9-833f-c02340198d23

Rationale:

• market=39.0%
• model=46.3%
• edge=7.3%
• exit_bid=34.0%
• spread=5.0%
• recent_vwap=37.5%
• signed_flow=0.96
• liq_proxy=571279.4
• hours_to_close=8666.7
• quote_age=57m

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?

Ticker: KXNHL-26-VGK | Event: KXNHL-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	232	Spent	$21.11
Entry price	0.09	Opened	2026-04-16T11:17:05.538Z
Market close	2028-06-30T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.06
Current mid	0.07	Live P&L at bid	$-7.19
Live P&L at mid	$-6.03	Requested	232
Filled	232	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.08
Quoted	0.08	Fill	0.09
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	93.9%
Edge	7.8%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	180,976	Volume 24h	180,976
Family	sports_match	Order ID	ddad4353-1953-42ae-b3ea-3af90f1eec4e

Rationale:

• market=8.0%
• model=15.9%
• edge=7.8%
• exit_bid=7.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=7.0%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=180976.0
• hours_to_close=19346.7
• quote_age=54m

Will PSG win the Champions League Winner?

Ticker: KXUCL-26-PSG | Event: KXUCL-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	69	Spent	$19.39
Entry price	0.28	Opened	2026-04-16T11:13:46.331Z
Market close	2028-05-29T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.24
Current mid	0.24	Live P&L at bid	$-2.83
Live P&L at mid	$-2.48	Requested	69
Filled	69	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.27
Quoted	0.27	Fill	0.28
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	93.9%
Edge	8.1%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	174,162.79	Volume 24h	87,606.38
Family	sports_match	Order ID	7a8596b6-20f8-40e4-aab2-ebcef3c0dd34

Rationale:

• market=27.0%
• model=35.1%
• edge=8.1%
• exit_bid=26.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=26.7%
• signed_flow=0.99
• liq_proxy=174162.8
• hours_to_close=18578.8
• quote_age=52m

Will Russell Henley win the RBC Heritage?

Ticker: KXPGATOUR-RBH26-RHEN | Event: KXPGATOUR-RBH26

Status	LOST	Side	YES
Contracts	353	Spent	$22.49
Entry price	0.06	Opened	2026-04-16T11:13:46.330Z
Market close	2026-04-20T16:00:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T22:26:13.444Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	0.00
Payout	$0.00	Realized P&L	$-22.49
Requested	353	Filled	353
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.05	Quoted	0.05
Fill	0.06	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	94.3%	Edge	8.1%
Spread	0.7%	Liquidity	256,628.58
Volume 24h	256,628.58	Family	sports_match
Order ID	34b62bf5-b104-408b-ad0d-5ca6a44a1d9c

YES settled against NO. Realized $-22.49.

Rationale:

• market=5.3%
• model=13.3%
• edge=8.1%
• exit_bid=4.6%
• spread=0.7%
• recent_vwap=5.3%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=256628.6
• hours_to_close=100.8
• quote_age=52m

Will the Detroit win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?

Ticker: KXNBA-26-DET | Event: KXNBA-26

Status	OPEN	Side	YES
Contracts	314	Spent	$22.29
Entry price	0.07	Opened	2026-04-16T11:13:46.329Z
Market close	2028-06-29T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.03
Current mid	0.04	Live P&L at bid	$-12.87
Live P&L at mid	$-11.30	Requested	314
Filled	314	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.06
Quoted	0.06	Fill	0.07
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	93.9%
Edge	8.3%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	279,378	Volume 24h	279,378
Family	sports_match	Order ID	d8d22993-f425-472f-a1b1-17f4f5e20a2a

Rationale:

• market=6.0%
• model=14.3%
• edge=8.3%
• exit_bid=5.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=6.0%
• signed_flow=1.00
• liq_proxy=279378.0
• hours_to_close=19322.8
• quote_age=46m

Who will win Defensive Player of the Year?

Ticker: KXNBADPOY-26-VWEM | Event: KXNBADPOY-26

Status	OPEN	Side	NO
Contracts	500	Spent	$10.50
Entry price	0.02	Opened	2026-04-16T11:13:46.328Z
Market close	2027-04-12T14:00:00Z	Current bid	0.00
Current mid	0.01	Live P&L at bid	$-10.50
Live P&L at mid	$-8.00	Requested	500
Filled	500	Remaining	0
Order status	filled	Limit	0.01
Quoted	0.01	Fill	0.02
Last order note	full_fill	Confidence	93.9%
Edge	8.0%	Spread	1.0%
Liquidity	662,056.56	Volume 24h	2,546
Family	sports_match	Order ID	282e5cae-aac5-4cda-831f-de2b04dec989

Rationale:

• market=99.0%
• model=91.0%
• edge=8.0%
• exit_bid=0.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=99.0%
• signed_flow=-1.00
• liq_proxy=662056.6
• hours_to_close=8666.8
• quote_age=54m

Will Dino Prizmic win the Basilashvili vs Prizmic : Round Of 32 match?

Ticker: KXATPMATCH-26MAR31BASPRI-PRI | Event: KXATPMATCH-26MAR31BASPRI

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	54	Spent	$49.14
Entry price	0.91	Opened	2026-03-31T15:18:03.996Z
Settled	2026-04-01T09:42:56.914Z	Settled result	YES
Closing mark	1.00	Payout	$54.00
Realized P&L	$4.86

YES settled YES. Realized $4.86.

Will Liam Broady win the Matsuoka vs Broady : Round Of 16 match?

Ticker: KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26MAR31MATBRO-BRO | Event: KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26MAR31MATBRO

Status	LOST	Side	NO
Contracts	135	Spent	$49.95
Entry price	0.37	Opened	2026-03-31T15:18:03.995Z
Settled	2026-04-03T09:19:21.700Z	Settled result	YES
Closing mark	0.00	Payout	$0.00
Realized P&L	$-49.95

NO settled against YES. Realized $-49.95.

Boston wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335DETBOS-BOS2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335DETBOS

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	37	Spent	$36.30
Entry price	0.98	Opened	2026-04-19T22:02:00.155Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:23:26.865Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$37.00	Realized P&L	$0.70
Requested	103	Filled	37
Remaining	66	Order status	settled
Limit	0.97	Quoted	0.97
Fill	0.98	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	93.9%	Edge	2.0%
Spread	1.0%	Liquidity	74,254.34
Volume 24h	74,254.34	Family	sports_match
Order ID	dd6125f9-1013-40b9-a875-04d14da474dd

NO settled NO. Realized $0.70.

Rationale:

• market=4.0%
• model=1.0%
• edge=2.0%
• exit_bid=96.0%
• spread=1.0%
• recent_vwap=17.1%
• signed_flow=-0.93
• liq_proxy=74254.3
• hours_to_close=67.6
• quote_age=5m

A's wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191605CWSATH-ATH2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191605CWSATH

Status	WON	Side	NO
Contracts	109	Spent	$100.61
Entry price	0.92	Opened	2026-04-19T20:39:30.545Z
Market close	2026-04-22T20:05:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:10:50.169Z
Settled result	NO	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$109.00	Realized P&L	$8.39
Requested	109	Filled	109
Remaining	0	Order status	settled
Limit	0.91	Quoted	0.91
Fill	0.92	Last order note	settled_no
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	4.0%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	136,625.65
Volume 24h	136,625.65	Family	sports_match
Order ID	37898dbf-1b56-4971-beaf-cbdd393959f4

NO settled NO. Realized $8.39.

Rationale:

• market=10.0%
• model=5.0%
• edge=4.0%
• exit_bid=88.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=11.6%
• signed_flow=-0.85
• liq_proxy=136625.6
• hours_to_close=71.4
• quote_age=3m

New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?

Ticker: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335KCNYY-NYY2 | Event: KXMLBSPREAD-26APR191335KCNYY

Status	WON	Side	YES
Contracts	52	Spent	$43.32
Entry price	0.83	Opened	2026-04-19T20:58:47.020Z
Market close	2026-04-22T17:35:00Z	Settled	2026-04-19T23:04:27.843Z
Settled result	YES	Closing mark	1.00
Payout	$52.00	Realized P&L	$8.68
Requested	121	Filled	52
Remaining	69	Order status	settled
Limit	0.82	Quoted	0.82
Fill	0.83	Last order note	settled_yes
Confidence	91.8%	Edge	8.6%
Spread	3.0%	Liquidity	334,880.85
Volume 24h	334,880.85	Family	sports_match
Order ID	8f2d8b8d-d10f-4de8-af2e-0db9bb16d0b1

YES settled YES. Realized $8.68.

Rationale:

• market=82.0%
• model=90.6%
• edge=8.6%
• exit_bid=79.0%
• spread=3.0%
• recent_vwap=81.7%
• signed_flow=0.80
• liq_proxy=334880.8
• hours_to_close=68.6
• quote_age=2m